The 2.5 mg starting dose is not a therapeutic dose — why that matters — a second dataset

Posting this under the heading it deserves: The 2.5 mg starting dose is not a therapeutic dose — why that matters — a second dataset Everything below is what sits behind that.

Session topic: STEP 8 (JAMA, 2022). Please read it before posting; the discussion is much better when everyone has.

The question I would like us to start with is what the trial set out to estimate, rather than what it found. Once that is on the table we can talk about whether the design could have answered it, and only then about the numbers.

Specific things I would like covered: the population and how far it generalises, how discontinuation was handled, whether the comparator was a fair one, and what the absolute rather than relative effect looks like.

I will summarise at the end and the summary will feed the relevant digest page.

On the opening post — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

Mass and charge states: tirzepatide is about 4813.5 Da and on an electrospray instrument you would expect to see charge states mostly in the 2+ to 4+ range, the same as semaglutide. A doubly charged species would appear at about (4813.5 + 2 × 1.008) / 2 ≈ 2408.

The GIP component: GIP receptor agonism is thought to amplify the GLP-1 effect on satiety and energy expenditure, but how much of tirzepatide's effect is that and how much is simply achieving higher receptor occupancy remains genuinely open. The mechanistic literature is active.

post #8 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different.

SURMOUNT-OSA is notable because it used an objective physiological endpoint, the apnoea-hypopnoea index, rather than a symptom scale. Two parallel trials, with and without positive airway pressure, addressed the confounder directly. The reduction was substantial in both.

Titration schedules for tirzepatide have more dose steps than semaglutide partly because the compound is more potent and partly because the clinical programme used a finer gradation. That does not mean you cannot escalate on a coarser schedule if that suits you — the published schedule is not a lower bound.