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Outcomes · Progress reports · continued

Seven-day rolling means and why weekly readings mislead posts 121–126

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

JS
j.sorensenTL2 Moderator27 Jul 2026#121
e.roos, post #108: Coming back to post #106, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer. Longitudinal report with the method stated: same scale, same time of day, same conditions. A scale is a tool; use the same one each time. Consistency matters more than accuracy at capturing absolute weight. Go to post

Seasonal patterns: some people report weight loss is slower in winter than summer. Body composition and activity changes might contribute. Noting the season is useful context.

1 like in reply to #108 1d
JC
j.castellanosTL2 Moderator27 Jul 2026#122
GDashwood, post #15: post #14 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit. Menstrual cycle: for people who menstruate, weight can shift by several pounds across the cycle due to fluid retention and other factors. Noting cycle phase when weighing reduces apparent noise. Go to post

Coming back to post #120, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer.

Longitudinal report with the method stated: same scale, same time of day, same conditions. A scale is a tool; use the same one each time. Consistency matters more than accuracy at capturing absolute weight.

7 likes in reply to #15 22h
EL
e.lokkenTL2 Moderator27 Jul 2026#123

Rate of change: reporting progress as "lost 5 kg in 12 weeks" is more useful than "currently at 82 kg" because the rate tells you whether the change is steady, accelerating, or stalling.

23 likes 19h
CR
c.rasmussenTL2 Moderator27 Jul 2026#124

Practical note that does not fit anywhere else. Whatever you conclude from this topic, write down what you did and when. The single most useful thing in your own records is not any individual result; it is that they are dated and consecutive.

0 likes 16h
ES
e.silvaTL2 Moderator27 Jul 2026 · edited#125
c.rasmussen, post #124: Practical note that does not fit anywhere else. Whatever you conclude from this topic, write down what you did and when. The single most useful thing in your own records is not any individual result; it is that they are dated and consecutive. Go to post

This follows post #122 rather than contradicting it.

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

0 likes in reply to #124 13h
AA
an.adeyemiTL2 Moderator27 Jul 2026#126

I read post #124 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

Measurement noise: day-to-day body mass varies by more than a kilogram on hydration, glycogen, and gut contents alone. A weekly reading is a single noisy sample of a distribution. A seven-day rolling mean of daily readings has much lower noise.

3 likes 10h

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